09:48 pm
What Would Klaatu Do?
This past Saturday I saw the remake of The Day The Earth Stood Still. That same day, President-elect Obama formally announced that Jane Lubchenoc will lead the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and that John Holdren will serve as his science adviser while leading the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy. Both announcements were built around a theme of urgency with respect to addressing potential environmental catastrophes. In response, The New York Times editorial page said,
Ms. Lubchenco is an expert on two grave threats to the oceans, both linked to global warming. One is acidification, which is destroying coral reefs, the other hypoxia, a condition that robs fish of the oxygen they need to survive. She has also been a powerful advocate for stronger federal and international efforts to protect declining fish species.
We are also heartened by Mr. Obama’s choice of John Holdren, a Harvard physicist, as his science adviser. Mr. Holdren has served as chairman of the American Association for the Advancement of Science, as has Ms. Lubchenco. Both have argued strongly and repeatedly for a mandatory limit on greenhouse gases to avoid catastrophic climate change.
As I said before about Obama’s picks for his energy and environment team, these appear to be solid choices, and while people shouldn’t be fooled into believing there isn’t groupthink within academic science — especially on heavily politicized issues such as climate change — both have succeeded by successfully and repeatedly convincing their peers to allow publication of their work, which tends not to happen if you are a wacko or extremist.
But before people get too excited about the these two individuals ability to promote change, I would sound a note of caution. I am a working scientist who reads the newspaper every day, and I could not tell you who currently serves in these two positions. I am pretty sure that I have known who the President’s S&T adviser was in the past, but I don’t know now, and I am darned sure I have never known who headed NOAA.
Does this matter? Well, yes, because I doubt the current holders of these two positions have been impeding efforts by the government to address environmental issues such as climate change. They hold those positions because they reflect the prevailing political views of the current administration, just as the future holders of these offices reflect those of the Obama administration.
I would guess that there are relatively few scientists who don’t believe climatologists’ claims that, for example, the average global temperature is changing. I would guess there is a somewhat larger number who are not clear on the magnitude of humans’ impact on that rate of change, but probably a majority believes that as well. I would guess the views of actual scientists in the Bush and Obama administrations are not that different, unlike those of their political masters.
Although these are very good appointments, they’re not game-changers. The holders of these positions were almost certainly never the sticking points in addressing environmental issues.
The basic problem with addressing environmental issues such as climate change is the same one that we in the biomedical industry have with high blood pressure, high cholesterol, or diabetes. Most people experience the problem as simply a number on a piece of paper, told to them by an expert who wants them to make a discomfiting and unwanted change in their lives in order to deal with it.

There is likely a greater warming of the Earth right now because of human activity than there would otherwise be, but I don’t feel that at all in my daily life, and I won’t until it is probably too late to do anything about it, or at least until it is a lot more difficult or expensive to fix.
Thus when politicians and scientists say that “there is this problem and we have to do something about it,” the average person has no personal experience with the downside of the problem, but they do understand the personal impact of the downside of the solution, e.g., a carbon tax on gasoline.
Should Obama’s scientific team want to gain public support for addressing a problem such as human-induced climate change, they will need to highlight both the personal impact of not dealing with the problem, and convince people that the personal impact of the solution is worth the cost.
If you don’t think that will be difficult, think about this. I attended the American Heart Association’s annual meeting a couple years ago, and was blown away by something one speaker said. When people come into the emergency room in the middle of a heart attack, they are immediately put on several medications, one of which is a high dose of a cholesterol-lowering drug called a statin. One year after this life-threatening event, 50 percent of those who had suffered a life-threatening myocardial infarction have stopped taking their pills because it was too much hassle to keep doing it every day. Once the immediacy of a threat has receded, people were unwilling to inconvenience themselves.
If you don’t think that’s relevant to climate questions, ask your local Toyota dealer how many Priuses she’s selling these days now that gas is down to $1.50 a gallon. It’s going to take something — hopefully less than Klaatu threatening the destruction of the earth, but certainly more than the appointment of these two scientists — to change the way we think about — and respond to — these issues.
Related posts
| posted in global economy, politics, world at home | 0 Comments

![Reblog this post [with Zemanta]](http://img.zemanta.com/reblog_e.png?x-id=f31f1058-eb99-4384-ace1-4b0d39725c3c)

The dependence of our cars and trucks on oil weakens the United States and constrains our foreign policy. The buildup of heat-trapping gases in the atmosphere threatens our national security and imperils the planet. The next President has an unprecedented opportunity to tackle both problems.
The Hip Hop Caucus has always seen the Hip Hop Generation, those born after 1964, as representative of what we like to call the “Dream Generation,” or the generation Dr. King prophesized, in which all people regardless of race, economic level, religion, or sexual preference, stood together to stand for Justice and Peace.
