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11 December 2008 Charles J. Brown
05:03 pm

The Perfect Christmas Gift?


A brilliant little video that uses humor to highlight the need to shut down the global trade in small arms (h/t Slog):

For years now, activists and a number of countries have been trying to draft and get UN approval for a treaty limiting trade in small arms.  Unfortunately, the National Rifle Association have convinced their friends in the Bush Administration to oppose these efforts, and has portrayed them as some sort of world government conspiracy.

Perhaps under the Obama Administration, the United States can demonstrate some leadership.  It won’t be easy — the NRA will portray any small arms ban as an effort to deny their members their guns. But it could save tens of thousands of lives.

| posted in foreign policy, war & rumors of war, world at home | 0 Comments

21 October 2008 Charles J. Brown
02:45 pm

Beyond November: Emira Woods


The Connect U.S. Fund has launched a new two-year initiative to help shape debate during the upcoming Presidential transition.  As part of this effort, they’ve asked leading thinkers and advocates to talk about what should be the top two or three foreign policy priorities for the next President.  They’ve also kindly allowed us to cross-post the responses here.

Today, we’ll hear from Emira Woods.  You can find the previous posts here.  Thanks again to Heather Hamilton and Eric Schwartz for making the cross-postings happen.

With a global economic slowdown and a deepening food crisis, the biggest foreign policy priority for the next President must be building a global economy that benefits poor and working families in the United States and around the world.

The World Bank estimates that 100 million people have been pushed into poverty this year by rising food and fuel prices.  In the U.S. 13.3 million children live below the poverty line.  Throughout the world, 3 billion people live on less than $2 a day.  The statistics, already staggering, will only worsen with the current economic crisis.  Wall Street executives and their surrogates have accumulated wealth in unregulated markets at the expense of the poor and middle class.  Bold action is needed to reinvigorate economies, invest in people, and build the infrastructure of the 21st century.

First, the new President must invest in global development that brings health care and education for all. The challenges of global poverty can be met by prioritizing human security.  Health care, education, housing, decent jobs: these are the core building blocks of healthy communities.  Investing in these pivotal areas anchors our global village in the interest of lower income people and builds a safer, more stable world.  A just and responsible foreign policy would cancel the external debts of the poorest countries and eliminate “odious” debts of middle income countries.  It would advance fair trade regimes so that the resources of countries around the world can be directed towards the needs of the people. Strengthened communities can unleash the human creativity needed to meet the demands of a changing global economy.

Second, the next President must commit to a global green investment agenda. The U.S. must end its addiction to oil.  An economy based on fossil fuels has led to unnecessary wars, economic crisis, and environmental catastrophe.  The new President can use political leverage for technology transfer as well as private-public partnerships to advance solar, wind, and other renewable energies.  Creating innovative green jobs can sustain the environment while allowing countries in Africa, Latin America and other regions of the global South to leapfrog their development in creative new ways.  Manufacturing renewable technology equipment like wind turbines or solar panels could reinvigorate economies from Detroit to Dakar.  Similarly, building and improving public transportation systems like high-speed trains can create new jobs while protecting the environment.  Survival of the planet hinges on bold and immediate action by the next President.

The third and perhaps most urgent foreign policy priority for the next President must be ending the cycle of continuous war.  The overall U.S. military budget currently stands at $965 billion, nearly half of the world’s military spending.   According to a recent report produced by Foreign Policy In Focus, the ratio of U.S. funding for military forces vs. non-military international engagement is 18:1.  This dramatic imbalance in the foreign policy toolkit allows military objectives to drive international engagement, leaving development and diplomacy poorly resourced.  The next President must end the war in Iraq with its escalating human and financial costs; halt the expansion of U.S. foreign bases; curb the global arms trade by stemming the flow of U.S. weapons around the world; and rebalance global engagement to advance principles of peace and justice.   U.S. leadership on these initiatives will not only create a safer, more stable world, but will also unleash resources that can sustain the global green economy the world needs in this 21st century.

Emira Woods is the co-director of Foreign Policy In Focus at the Institute for Policy Studies. Foreign Policy In Focus (FPIF) is a think tank for research, analysis, and action that brings together 600 scholars, advocates, and activists who strive to make the United States a more responsible global partner.  The Institute for Policy Studies is a multi-issue research center that has transformed ideas into action for peace, justice, and the environment for over four decades. Ms. Woods is an expert on U.S. foreign policy with a special emphasis on Africa and the developing world.  She has written on a range of issues from debt, trade and development to US military policy.

| posted in foreign policy, politics | 1 Comment

15 August 2008 Charles J. Brown
07:47 pm

How Do You Solve a Problem Like Vladimir?


With all the debate these days about the future of Russian-American relations, there’s one simple bit of analysis I haven’t yet seen (perhaps it’s oversimplistic, but that never stopped me before).

A scorecard.  In what areas do we need the Russians?  In what areas do the Russians need us?   What would each side lose if relations were to go from bad to worse?

What follows is a first, rough attempt to provide that perspective.

The United States needs Russia to

  • help contain Iran’s nuclear ambitions;
  • remain a member in good standing in the six-party talks on the future of North Korean nukes;
  • cooperate with us on the war on terror;
  • continue the Nunn-Lugar process, which seeks to reduce significantly nuclear weapons stockpiles;
  • ensure implementation of the so-called 123 agreement on civil nuclear cooperation;
  • continue talks on renewal of the START I and START II treaties, which are scheduled to expire in 2009 and 2012;
  • reverse its decision to suspend its compliance with the Treaty on Conventional Armed Forces in Europe;
  • tolerate NATO expansion.

Russia needs the United States to

  • continue its significant investment in the Russian economy;
  • accede to Russia’s application to join the World Trade Organization;
  • support Russia’s continued membership in the G-8.

See a pattern here?  Russia needs the United States for economic reasons.  The United States needs Russia for security reasons.  Unfortunately for the United States, Russia can find other willing partners on economic issues.  But the United States cannot find others to fill the role played by Russia in nuclear non-proliferation.

Advantage, Russia.

| posted in foreign policy, media, politics, war & rumors of war | 1 Comment

5 August 2008 Charles J. Brown
06:30 pm

The Key Question about Iran’s New Weapon…


…is will it be able to take out Godzilla and giant LOL kittens?  From The Los Angeles Times:

Iran announced that it has tested a new weapon capable of sinking ships nearly 200 miles away, and reiterated threats to close a strategic waterway at the mouth of the Persian Gulf if attacked.

I wonder whether the Revolutionary Guard has deployed its crack photoshop unit yet.

Fortunately for our readers, Undiplomatic has obtained exclusive new video of this amazing weapon.  This is an Undiplomatic exclusive!  Remember, you must credit Undiplomatic!

| posted in foreign policy, global economy, pop culture | 0 Comments

31 July 2008 Charles J. Brown
06:42 am

Charts and Graphs: International Arms Sales


The Economist has an interesting graph on arms sales:

According to the accompanying story, China, India, and the UAE are the biggest recipients.

Looking at the pie chart, the first thing that comes to mind is Lenin’s famous dictum about capitalists being willing to sell communists the rope they will use to hang them.

The second thing I notice is that the chart only includes “large conventional weapons.”  I wonder if there are also statistics on small arms sales.  There is a U.N. initiative  to ban the illicit trade in small weapons, but it hasn’t gotten much traction so far, in large part because the very idea of a global ban has the NRA frothing at the mouth over black helicopters.

Hat tip:  Patrick Appel at Andrew Sullivan

| posted in global economy, war & rumors of war | 1 Comment

24 July 2008 Charles J. Brown
08:56 am

Diplospeak Translator: Licensed to (Kim Jong) Il


Okay boys and girls, time for the Diplospeak Translator!  Today, we’re featuring remarks by The Condi during her press availability yesterday.

These took place after the “Informal Six-Party Ministerial,” which is apparently what we call meetings with Axis of Evil member new strategic partner North Korea.  Because if they were formal, The Condi would have to get a dress and a corsage and everything, and Kim Jong Il would show up in one of those really hideous powder-blue polyester tuxes from the 1970s.  And nobody wants that.

So here’s what she had to say:

Read the rest of this entry »

| posted in foreign policy, war & rumors of war | 0 Comments

13 July 2008 Charles J. Brown
10:14 pm

Is That a Missile in Your Pocket or Are You Just Glad to Photoshop Me?


This is a fairly long post.  I hope you find it worthwhile.

I’m a big fan of Errol Morris, the terrific documentarian whose latest film, Standard Operating Procedure, is a devastating dissection of what happened at Abu Ghraib and how it reflects an Administration unconcerned with the Constitution, morality, or America’s standing in the world.

But liking Morris’s work doesn’t mean that I always agree with him.  Take his oped in today’s NYT, which concerns the recent (largely online) kerfuffle over doctored photos of an Iranian missile test.  To understand how wrong Morris is, we need to take a look at the photos in question.

But first, for those who aren’t aware of the controversy, a quick recap:  last Wednesday (July 10), Iran conducted a missile test.  Initial media coverage made it sound like Iran had significantly expanded its capacity to attack Israel and the United States:

Iran demonstrated its military force with the test-flight of nine long and medium-range missiles in the strategic Strait of Hormouz…. Tehran said the exercise was in retaliation to threats from the US and Israel over its disputed nuclear projects, which it claims are civilian.

Then people started taking a closer look at the photos released by the Iranians in conjunction with the test.  Let’s start with the one distributed by the Associated Press, among others:

Now here’s the version distributed by Agence France Presse (AFP):

Whoopsie!  One of these things is not like the other.

As reported on The Lede, a NYT blog, AFP subsequently withdrew their shot because it was “digitally altered.”  AFP said it got its version from Sepah News, the press arm of the Iranian Revolutionary National Guard, those paragons of truth, accuracy, and good reporting.

Now let’s return to what Morris had to say about the controversy:

[W]hat is the purpose of these Iranian missile photographs? They are clearly altered. The question remains: Why, and to what end?

The government of Iran could not have created a more self-serving controversy. It has focused our attention on Iranian military might more than ever. What will we remember — the digital manipulation of this photograph or the missiles streaking into the sky with their contrails of smoke? Will we ask about essential details — the range or the payload of these weapons? All we are left with is a threat in visual form.

The photographs tell us little about the real threat of Iran. The danger here is not in three missiles versus four. We do not understand the intentions behind the photograph — real or digitally manipulated. Is it a threat? A warning? Or a bluff? All we really know about the photograph is that the government of Iran wanted to get the attention of the world, and it succeeded.

Morris is a brilliant filmmaker and, from what I’ve heard, an equally talented photographer. But he totally misses the point here.  Iran is less ominous and scary as a result of this, not more.  At best they’re bumblers; at worst, they’re complete idiots.

Think I’m mistaken?  Just take a look at posts on sites like Boing Boing (”Iran:  You Suck at Photoshop”), and Wired’s Danger Room (”Attack of the Photoshopped Missiles”).   Netizens are having a field day not only mocking the Iranians but creating their own versions of the photo.  In fact, we should give Ahmadinejad credit here.  For one brief shining moment, liberal and conservative bloggers came together to abuse Iran.

The results are priceless.  Here are a few of my favorites (and yes, I know there are quite a few, but hey, it’s my blog):

Are We Lumberjacks:

Cowicide on Flickr:

Fark:

Snapped Shot:

The Mini Blog:

Are We Lumberjacks again (this is my personal favorite):

PolitiComix:

Fark, again:

And again:

And last but not least, Giant Ideas:

So in sum, the Iranians managed to take something that should have been deadly serious and turned it into one big SNL skit.  As “Farmer Dave,” a commenter on Boing Boing put it, “You know, if you’re going to play at the planet’s ‘adult table,’ you really, really, need to make sure you don’t have idiots in your propaganda office.”

But even that isn’t even the complete story:  there’s a very real possibility that the whole “crisis” is much ado about nothing.   Arms Control Wonk:

Yes, Iran has claimed that it is working on a longer, possibly two-stage [missle], with a 2,000 km range — but that ain’t what Iran launched.

Our intern — a clever kid from MIT named Nick Calluzzo — points out that the external dimensions of the tested Shahab-3 are identical to previously tested missiles. Which means the missiles are probably identical.

[Calluzzo:] “Based on analysis of the available launch footage, it is apparent that the missile launched yesterday is, in fact, an older, shorter range version [of the ] Shahab-3A…. [T]he missile launched today is just the same 1,200 km range Nodong-1 knockoff the Iranians have had functional since as early as 1998.”

So in other words, the Iranians just tested a missile that they’ve had in their arsenal for ten years.  Despite this, one of the four missiles “tested” didn’t fire properly.  So to cover up the fact that a decade-old system really wasn’t working properly, they decided to photoshop the results.

And guess what?  It worked.  Set aside the photoshopping issue for a moment and realize that the media ran with a story that wasn’t news.

Furthermore, reports of a second missile test on Thursday also were overblown.  Apparently the only missile tested was the one that didn’t fire on Wednesday — the one sitting on the ground in the AP version and photoshopped into the AFP version.

Now let’s put the cherry on this hot fudge sundae:  the Bush Administration has responded to this with their usual display of calm  and thoughtful deliberation complete hysteria:

[T]he US secretary of state, Condoleezza Rice, said the [Iranian] “war games” justified America’s defence plans with bases in eastern Europe. She said the tests were “evidence that the missile threat is not an imaginary one…. Those who say there is no Iranian missile threat against which we should build a missile defence system perhaps ought to talk to the Iranians about their claims.”

Okay, let me think about this for a minute.  We are justifying a set of insanely dangerous policies as a result of a test of some missiles that Iran has had for ten freaking years.  A test where not all of missiles fired properly.  A test that demonstrated only that the Iranians’ photoshopping skills have progressed at a faster rate than their missile-building skills.

To be clear, I do think that Iran obtaining the bomb is a genuine national security threat.  But it does not even remotely help that argument when you start portraying a partially successful test of an old system as a clear and present danger.  Let’s keep our eye on the ball, people.  And Mr. Morris, please try to see the bigger picture here.

| posted in foreign policy, media, politics, pop culture, war & rumors of war, world at home | 1 Comment

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