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17th April 2009 Chris Larson
11:43 am

Of Those to Whom Much is Given, Much is Required


A recent issue of Science magazine alerted me to a very interesting fact.

The Energy Information Administration, part of the U.S. Department of Energy, has projected global energy needs based on three separate scenarios: low, medium, and high rates of growth.  Disturbingly, each more or less assumes the need for a nearly 50 percent increase in global energy production by the year 2030 — a mere twenty years from now.

Not surprisingly, the countries most capable of increasing global energy production are the wealthiest and most technologically advanced.  They also are the countries that have the least incentive to do so, since they currently hold a competitive advantage in terms of access to existing resources and technologies.

It isn’t obvious to me how one creates incentives that would attract the technical and financial resources necessary to enable the developing world to develop such production capabilities.

This entry was posted on Friday, April 17th, 2009 at 11:43 am and is filed under global economy, science and technology. It is tagged under . You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

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  1. 1 On April 23rd, 2009, 420dude said:

    If the problem is defined as how one enables the developing world to develop production capabilities, I think this will take care of itself. Even the most efficient power grids suffer a 7% loss from transmission of electrical power alone and, if we move to more “green” sources of energy and away from oil, this points us to the same solution: local manufacturing of equipment, creation of infrastructure and distribution of power.

    The greater issue is how markets are structured in developing countries. If there is a demand for power, someone will supply that demand. Giving developing countries incentives to drive “green” power production will benefit everyone.

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