05:59 pm
Holy Smokes
Two images for you.
First, Gallup daily tracking (which does not include last night’s debate):

That’s the first double-digit lead of the election. To be fair, some other trackers see a narrowing, but most folks regard the Gallup and Rassmussen daily trackers as the most reliable, and both show Obama with a significant lead.
Second, a map from Open Left showing a composite of the half-dozen websites out there forecasting the electoral college. Remember, this is not Open Left’s estimate, but an average of all such sites.
The score is Obama 338, McCain 163, 37 too close to call.
There’s still four weeks left, and anything can happen here, but we’re moving into Reagan-Carter territory here.
