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29th September 2008 Charles J. Brown
07:15 am

Polls: The Most Important Number?


The most important numbers in the race may be the spread between the four candidates favorability and unfavorability ratings.  Here’s the latest data:

Andrew Sullivan and others have focused on the fact that Sarah Palin has moved from +17 to -10 in less than three weeks.  What I find more striking is that McCain has dropped from +12 to+1 in that same period, and Obama has gone from +15 to +27.

If these trendlines continue, Obama will soon have a double-digit lead in the polls.

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